Berga vs Castellar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AJU
2 - 2
BER
26%
22%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
VIC
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 0
BER
22%
21%
56%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
JOA
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GIR
1 - 2
BER
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CUE
1 - 2
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
CUE
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CUE
2 - 0
PUI
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GUR
1 - 5
CUE
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CUE
4 - 0
AJU
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |