Bercial 2009 vs EMF Valdemoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+319%
+148%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bercial 2009
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
EDP
3 - 2
CER
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CER
3 - 3
TIT
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
CER
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
GAT
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 3
CER
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
EMF Valdemoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
EMV
2 - 3
ATP
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DCB
1 - 1
EMV
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EMV
6 - 2
CFC
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
EMV
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EMV
1 - 3
CSP
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |