Bercial 2009 vs Leganés C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bercial 2009
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
CER
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CER
3 - 1
JVC
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CER
2 - 0
ROL
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
CER
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
CIU
77%
13%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LEG
4 - 0
VAL
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 0
LEG
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LEG
11 - 4
RAY
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
COB
3 - 2
LEG
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LEG
4 - 1
TDC
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |