Benicassim vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benicassim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACE
2 - 3
BEN
38%
25%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 1
OND
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 2
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
BEN
3 - 1
SPO
28%
26%
47%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
GAN
1 - 1
BEN
64%
22%
14%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
DEN
2 - 0
VAL
20%
26%
54%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
TCF
0 - 3
DEN
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
DEN
3 - 1
CAT
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ALI
3 - 3
DEN
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
DEN
1 - 1
ELD
33%
28%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |