Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACV
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BMA
0 - 0
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
SLB
5 - 3
FAM
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
18%
27%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SLB
3 - 2
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VST
4 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
FCB
0 - 1
VST
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
VST
4 - 1
ACV
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |