Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1962 |
SLB
6 - 0
VIT
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
FER
1 - 7
SLB
27%
22%
51%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
SLB
7 - 1
FER
87%
8%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1962 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
76%
14%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
VST
2 - 0
LEX
53%
20%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
VST
66%
16%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
VST
4 - 1
VIA
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |