Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLB
16%
28%
56%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
MFF
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACV
94%
4%
1%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
VIT
5 - 0
SPB
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
ESP
3 - 1
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |