Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
1 - 3
AJA
69%
16%
15%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 1
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 3
SLB
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
LEX
0 - 0
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SCP
1 - 1
FAB
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SCP
1 - 1
UFT
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |