Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 2
SLB
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
SLB
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 3
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 1
SLB
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 4
BYM
9%
14%
78%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
SPB
4 - 2
LUD
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
SPB
3 - 0
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SPB
0 - 0
PAÇ
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 1
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
LUD
0 - 1
SPB
32%
25%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |