Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
F95
0 - 0
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
SLB
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SLB
5 - 2
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 1
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VST
1 - 3
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 1
SPB
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
SPB
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 0
COX
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SCP
3 - 2
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 0
BMA
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |