Europa League Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 3
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
BMA
82%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
SLB
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPB
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SPB
0 - 0
DYN
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
DYN
1 - 1
SPB
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BMA
1 - 2
SPB
24%
27%
50%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |