Benfica vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
7 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 1
SLB
48%
21%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
0 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
VST
1 - 6
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
RMA
1 - 0
SLB
76%
13%
11%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SEV
0 - 0
RJA
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 1
SLB
48%
21%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1957 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 1
SEV
73%
15%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |