Taça de Portugal Final

Benfica vs Rio Ave analysis

Benfica Rio Ave
88 ELO 77
6.6% Tilt -0.3%
101º General ELO ranking 475º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Benfica
14.3%
Draw
6%
Rio Ave

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
Benfica
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.9%
Win probability
Rio Ave
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Benfica
Rio Ave
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2014
SEV
Sevilla
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
48%
23%
29%
88 88 0 0
10 May. 2014
FCP
Porto
2 - 1
Benfica
SLB
47%
25%
28%
88 88 0 0
07 May. 2014
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
14%
21%
66%
88 78 10 0
04 May. 2014
SLB
Benfica
1 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
79%
14%
7%
88 74 14 0
01 May. 2014
JUV
Juventus
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
64%
21%
15%
89 93 4 -1

Matches

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2014
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
48%
27%
25%
77 77 0 0
07 May. 2014
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
14%
21%
66%
78 88 10 -1
04 May. 2014
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
45%
26%
28%
78 76 2 0
21 Apr. 2014
FCP
Porto
3 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
74%
17%
9%
79 88 9 -1
16 Apr. 2014
RIO
Rio Ave
2 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
24%
26%
50%
78 86 8 +1