Benfica vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
ARO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPA
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 2
SLB
14%
20%
67%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
MID
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 2
PSV
27%
23%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |