Benfica vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 3
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
SLB
4 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
SLB
0 - 1
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
POR
1 - 2
SLB
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
OEL
1 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
FAR
1 - 3
OEL
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
OEL
4 - 1
ESP
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
RIO
2 - 0
OEL
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
OEL
0 - 0
PEN
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |