Benfica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
0 - 1
SLB
8%
15%
77%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 2
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
SPB
2 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
62%
18%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
0 - 2
LGC
68%
16%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
3 - 3
LGC
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
VST
5 - 1
LGC
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
TOR
2 - 0
LGC
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 2
SCP
28%
21%
51%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |