Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 3
SLB
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 0
AVE
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
0 - 2
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 1
RIO
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
GAL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
S04
1 - 1
FCP
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 1
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |