Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 5
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 4
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 6
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 1
ARO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 1
SLB
11%
20%
68%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 2
ARO
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GFC
0 - 3
FCP
13%
21%
67%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
FEI
2 - 0
FCP
11%
18%
71%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |