Europa League Playoffs Last 16
Global 3-1
Benfica vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
SLB
2 - 2
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
DZG
1 - 0
SLB
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 2
SLB
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
SLB
0 - 0
GAL
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DZG
3 - 1
RIJ
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
DZG
1 - 0
SLB
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 1
DZG
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
DZG
3 - 0
OSI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
DZG
3 - 0
VKP
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |