Benfica vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
77.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 2
SLB
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 5
BYM
8%
13%
79%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BYM
1 - 2
EIN
81%
12%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 0
DYN
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 3
BYM
2%
7%
91%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BYM
7 - 0
BOC
89%
9%
3%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |