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UCL. Group E, Matchday 3

Benfica vs Bayern München analysis

Benfica Bayern München
90 ELO 96
-22% Tilt 48%
21º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.5%
Benfica
24.7%
Draw
52.8%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
Benfica
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.8%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Points and table prediction

Benfica
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
3
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
3
17
100%
Benfica
1
4
34%
Dinamo Kiev
1
4
31%
Barcelona
0
4
31%
Expected probabilities
Benfica
Bayern München
Next phase
34% 100%
elimuefa
31% 0%
Mid-table
34% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
Benfica
SLB
Hoffenheim
HOF
Vizela
VIZ
Holstein Kiel
HOL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO SLB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 3
Benfica
SLB
29%
26%
45%
3173 2317 -856 +9
20 Sep. 2021
SLB
Benfica
3 - 1
Boavista
BOA
82%
12%
6%
3171 1671 1500 +2
14 Sep. 2021
DYN
Dinamo Kiev
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
21%
24%
55%
3189 1844 -1345 -15
11 Sep. 2021
SAN
CD Santa Clara
0 - 5
Benfica
SLB
13%
19%
68%
3179 1598 -1581 +5
29 Aug. 2021
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Tondela
TON
82%
12%
6%
3193 1657 1536 +2

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2021
SGF
Greuther Fürth
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
10%
16%
74%
3623 1238 -2385 +1
18 Sep. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
7 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
80%
12%
8%
3621 1490 2131 +2
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3567 3643 76 +57
11 Sep. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Bayern München
BYM
31%
27%
42%
3549 2788 -761 +13
28 Aug. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
82%
12%
6%
3548 2150 1398 +4