Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
EST
1 - 3
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
SLB
6 - 0
AVE
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
OLH
1 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SLB
4 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
4 - 2
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 0
OLH
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
ACA
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 4
SPB
17%
25%
58%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |