Benfica II vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 0
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
OLI
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ACV
2 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
LEX
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 2
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
VSC
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
ORI
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 2
POR
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BMA
1 - 0
ORI
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |