Benfica II vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAS
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
BEN
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAR
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
ACV
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
FEI
4 - 1
FAR
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
ACA
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |