Benevento vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ACD
0 - 4
BEN
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 1
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NUO
0 - 1
BEN
17%
25%
59%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 1
SAL
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CTT
1 - 2
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 1
SPE
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 1
ASC
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PRG
0 - 3
SPE
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 2
SPE
55%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |