US Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
8º
8º
30
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
BEN
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
TAT
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
51%
27%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ETO
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
OLY
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
CAB
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
OLY
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |