US Ben Guerdane vs ES Métlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
8º
8º
20
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
BEN
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAB
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
BEN
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
EGS
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
CLU
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
OLY
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
ETO
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
ETO
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
CAB
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
USM
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |