Belluno vs Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ACC
1 - 0
BEL
61%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 1
TAM
60%
22%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
BEL
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 3
TRE
19%
26%
55%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
BEL
50%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
ROV
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ACC
2 - 1
CON
78%
15%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |