Belisce vs Dilj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belisce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
GOS
0 - 3
BEL
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BEL
5 - 0
SLO
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BJE
3 - 2
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NOV
2 - 1
BEL
33%
25%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
MOS
1 - 3
BEL
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Dilj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
DIL
1 - 2
NKS
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
POD
1 - 1
DIL
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
DIL
0 - 3
MAR
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
CAK
3 - 2
DIL
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
DIL
2 - 2
VAL
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |