Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 1
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAU
55%
25%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
3 - 0
GOD
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
INS
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
CHA
30%
31%
40%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
FER
0 - 1
DYJ
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 0
FER
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
IRV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |