Belgium U19s vs Croacia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
PRT
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 2
BEL
57%
21%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALB
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
4 - 1
CYP
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
MNE
1 - 4
BEL
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Croacia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
HRV
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
HRV
1 - 3
ITA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LVA
1 - 2
HRV
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
HRV
2 - 2
FRO
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 1
HRV
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |