Beijing Guoan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 0
BEI
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
BEI
0 - 1
BRI
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
BEI
2 - 2
GUI
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 1
BEI
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
URA
1 - 1
BEI
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SHI
4 - 3
TIT
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
SHI
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SHI
2 - 1
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
JIA
2 - 1
SHI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SHI
1 - 1
LIA
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |