Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Whowin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HAN
0 - 3
BEI
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
YAN
1 - 0
BEI
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 0
BEI
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BEI
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liaoning Whowin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LIA
2 - 2
TIT
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
4 - 0
LIA
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIA
1 - 1
HEN
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 2
LIA
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SHI
0 - 1
LIA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |