Begur vs Bascara A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+191%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VLM
1 - 5
BEG
23%
21%
57%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BEG
0 - 0
ESP
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BEG
4 - 2
VSA
54%
19%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BEG
3 - 3
BSB
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
3 - 5
BEG
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bascara A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
NAV
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 2
BAS
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 3
LLA
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
EMP
4 - 0
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VLM
0 - 2
BAS
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |