Bedford Town vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
BED
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BED
1 - 1
COL
58%
20%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
AFD
3 - 1
BED
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BED
2 - 0
KID
79%
13%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BED
1 - 2
CAM
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AFD
4 - 3
AYL
80%
14%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 1
AYL
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
AYL
0 - 0
WEL
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
AYL
2 - 0
AYL
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 1
COL
11%
15%
75%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |