Bedem vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bedem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BJE
2 - 0
BED
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BED
2 - 2
IVA
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
PAP
1 - 0
BED
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
BED
0 - 2
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NOV
4 - 2
BED
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
VUK
3 - 0
SLO
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
SLO
2 - 0
VUK
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
VUK
3 - 1
NAS
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
BEL
2 - 2
VUK
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
VUK
2 - 0
POD
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |