Croatia Third Division East Round 30

Bedem vs Kutjevo analysis

Bedem Kutjevo
28 ELO 36
5.2% Tilt -12.2%
10034º General ELO ranking 44415º
82º Country ELO ranking 254º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Bedem
22.6%
Draw
41.8%
Kutjevo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
Bedem
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.8%
Win probability
Kutjevo
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bedem
-25%
-34%
Kutjevo

Points and table prediction

Bedem
Their league position
Kutjevo
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
13º
11º
49
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Slavonija Pozega
59
59
100%
Graničar Županja
58
58
100%
NAŠK
52
52
100%
Kutjevo
49
49
100%
Čepin
47
47
100%
NK Borac
44
44
100%
Pleternica
43
43
100%
Oriolik Oriovac
42
42
100%
Vuteks Sloga
41
41
100%
NK Svačić
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Bedem
11º
38
38
11º
0%
Sloga NG
12º
38
38
12º
0%
Valpovka
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Đakovo Croatia
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Darda
15º
30
30
15º
100%
Gornja Vrba
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bedem
Kutjevo
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bedem
Kutjevo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bedem
Bedem
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2023
SLA
Slavonija Pozega
2 - 2
Bedem
BED
78%
14%
8%
28 39 11 0
21 May. 2023
BED
Bedem
4 - 3
Valpovka
VAL
41%
22%
38%
27 30 3 +1
13 May. 2023
NAS
NAŠK
2 - 1
Bedem
BED
55%
23%
22%
28 32 4 -1
07 May. 2023
BED
Bedem
2 - 3
Oriolik Oriovac
ORI
52%
22%
26%
28 28 0 0
30 Apr. 2023
NKS
NK Svačić
3 - 0
Bedem
BED
58%
20%
22%
30 32 2 -2

Matches

Kutjevo
Kutjevo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2023
NKK
Kutjevo
4 - 0
Pleternica
SLA
65%
19%
17%
33 27 6 0
20 May. 2023
SLO
Sloga NG
3 - 0
Kutjevo
NKK
24%
22%
55%
35 25 10 -2
14 May. 2023
NKK
Kutjevo
8 - 2
Vuteks Sloga
VUT
71%
16%
13%
35 25 10 0
07 May. 2023
OGV
Gornja Vrba
0 - 2
Kutjevo
NKK
16%
19%
65%
34 24 10 +1
01 May. 2023
NKK
Kutjevo
3 - 3
Čepin
CEP
60%
21%
19%
35 33 2 -1