Croatia Third Division East Round 23

Bedem vs NAŠK analysis

Bedem NAŠK
28 ELO 30
1.8% Tilt -19.7%
9956º General ELO ranking 28108º
82º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Bedem
22.7%
Draw
32.6%
NAŠK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Bedem
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.6%
Win probability
NAŠK
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bedem
-33%
-24%
NAŠK

Points and table prediction

Bedem
Their league position
NAŠK
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
40
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Slavonija Pozega
63
63
100%
Čepin
57
57
100%
Tomislav DA
53
53
100%
Đakovo Croatia
47
47
100%
Vuteks Sloga
41
41
100%
Bedem
40
40
0%
NAŠK
40
40
0%
NK Svačić
39
39
0%
NK Borac
39
39
0%
NK Tomislav Cerna
10º
38
38
10º
0%
Valpovka
11º
38
38
11º
0%
Graničar Županja
12º
38
38
12º
0%
Sloga NG
13º
36
36
13º
0%
Pleternica
14º
36
36
14º
0%
Oriolik Oriovac
15º
36
36
15º
0%
Kutjevo
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bedem
NAŠK
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bedem
NAŠK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bedem
Bedem
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
SLA
Pleternica
2 - 0
Bedem
BED
42%
25%
33%
29 25 4 0
30 Mar. 2024
BED
Bedem
3 - 0
NK Borac
BKV
49%
22%
30%
27 30 3 +2
23 Mar. 2024
VUT
Vuteks Sloga
2 - 0
Bedem
BED
57%
22%
22%
28 29 1 -1
17 Mar. 2024
BED
Bedem
1 - 2
Graničar Županja
GRA
66%
18%
16%
28 24 4 0
09 Mar. 2024
TDA
Tomislav DA
1 - 0
Bedem
BED
43%
23%
34%
29 25 4 -1

Matches

NAŠK
NAŠK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
VAL
Valpovka
2 - 2
NAŠK
NAS
49%
22%
29%
30 30 0 0
30 Mar. 2024
NAS
NAŠK
0 - 1
Pleternica
SLA
57%
22%
21%
30 24 6 0
23 Mar. 2024
BKV
NK Borac
2 - 0
NAŠK
NAS
38%
22%
40%
31 28 3 -1
16 Mar. 2024
NAS
NAŠK
0 - 1
Vuteks Sloga
VUT
47%
23%
30%
31 28 3 0
10 Mar. 2024
GRA
Graničar Županja
1 - 0
NAŠK
NAS
21%
21%
58%
33 22 11 -2