Becerril vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AVI
2 - 1
BEC
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BEC
1 - 1
NUM
38%
26%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 3
BEC
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BEC
1 - 1
SAL
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
UXA
0 - 5
BEC
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AST
4 - 0
RBU
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAB
1 - 3
AST
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
AST
1 - 1
SDA
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEB
4 - 2
AST
15%
22%
63%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AST
4 - 1
SJO
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |