Non League Premier Southern South. Jor. 19

Beaconsfield vs AFC Totton analysis

Beaconsfield AFC Totton
39 ELO 51
19.4% Tilt -2.2%
6837º General ELO ranking 4486º
318º Country ELO ranking 170º
ELO win probability
23.8%
Beaconsfield
22.8%
Draw
53.4%
AFC Totton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
Beaconsfield
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.4%
Win probability
AFC Totton
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beaconsfield
+7%
+27%
AFC Totton

Points and table prediction

Beaconsfield
Their league position
AFC Totton
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
12º
21º
19º
81
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chesham United
90
90
100%
AFC Totton
81
81
100%
Salisbury City
79
79
100%
Gosport Borough
78
78
100%
Bracknell Town FC
68
68
100%
Merthyr Town
67
67
100%
Walton & Hersham
65
65
100%
Hungerford Town
64
64
100%
Dorchester Town
60
60
100%
Hendon
10º
58
58
10º
100%
Winchester City
11º
57
57
11º
100%
Basingstoke Town
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Poole Town
13º
52
52
13º
100%
Tiverton Town
14º
52
52
14º
100%
Sholing
15º
49
49
15º
100%
Swindon Supermarine
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Hanwell Town
17º
48
48
17º
0%
Plymouth Parkway
18º
48
48
18º
0%
Beaconsfield
19º
48
48
19º
0%
Hayes & Yeading United
20º
46
46
20º
100%
Harrow Borough
21º
39
39
21º
100%
Didcot Town
22º
28
28
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Beaconsfield
AFC Totton
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Beaconsfield
AFC Totton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beaconsfield
Beaconsfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
BAT
Bath City
1 - 0
Beaconsfield
BEA
65%
20%
15%
39 51 12 0
14 Nov. 2023
BEA
Beaconsfield
3 - 1
Harrow Borough
HAR
75%
14%
11%
39 30 9 0
11 Nov. 2023
BEA
Beaconsfield
1 - 2
Winchester City
WIN
44%
23%
33%
39 42 3 0
04 Nov. 2023
BEA
Beaconsfield
1 - 3
Poole Town
POO
24%
22%
54%
40 49 9 -1
28 Oct. 2023
HAR
Harrow Borough
1 - 2
Beaconsfield
BEA
27%
23%
50%
39 30 9 +1

Matches

AFC Totton
AFC Totton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
AFT
AFC Totton
2 - 1
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
75%
16%
10%
50 34 16 0
11 Nov. 2023
MER
Merthyr Town
1 - 3
AFC Totton
AFT
35%
24%
41%
49 44 5 +1
04 Nov. 2023
AFT
AFC Totton
1 - 2
Hungerford Town
HUN
53%
22%
25%
49 46 3 0
31 Oct. 2023
AFT
AFC Totton
2 - 1
Merthyr Town
MER
56%
22%
22%
48 45 3 +1
25 Oct. 2023
AFT
AFC Totton
7 - 1
Didcot Town
DID
82%
13%
6%
48 29 19 0
X