Bdin vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
4º
1º
60
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ETR
1 - 4
BDI
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BDI
3 - 0
LOK
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +4 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LOD
0 - 4
BDI
8%
15%
77%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BDI
3 - 0
OFK
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABV
2 - 3
BDI
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 0
YPT
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
0 - 1
LOV
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ETR
2 - 4
LOK
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 1
PAV
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
OGI
0 - 2
LOK
13%
17%
71%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |