Baztan vs River Ega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CDB
4 - 1
ZAR
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MEN
3 - 1
CDB
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 1
ART
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 2
CDB
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDB
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Ega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
CDS
32%
22%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
RIV
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 0
INF
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 1
RIV
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 1
RIV
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |