Baza vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ANT
1 - 0
BAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
BAZ
0 - 0
ALH
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LOJ
1 - 1
BAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
BAZ
0 - 0
UBE
59%
23%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
4 - 3
BAZ
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 0
ALM
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UDS
2 - 0
GUA
48%
27%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOT
39%
28%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |