Bayreuth SpVgg vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
VIK
4 - 0
BAY
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
HAL
9%
16%
76%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
NEU
1 - 3
BAY
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 1
FCN
6%
12%
83%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 2
JRE
61%
21%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 3
NUR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
VRG
0 - 3
ING
6%
13%
80%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
MUN
5 - 2
VRG
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 3
VRG
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
VRG
0 - 2
AUG
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |