Bayreuth SpVgg vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 3
BAY
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
AUB
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ELT
0 - 3
BAY
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 1
AMB
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 2
BAY
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
AHA
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MEM
1 - 3
SEL
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 2
HOL
75%
15%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JRE
5 - 1
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ERB
1 - 2
SEL
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |