Bayreuth SpVgg vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
SVS
0 - 1
BAY
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
WUR
1 - 2
BAY
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
BAY
4 - 0
MTV
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
SVH
0 - 5
BAY
16%
18%
67%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
SCF
4 - 3
SAA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
SGF
2 - 0
SCF
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
SCF
0 - 5
HOM
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
OFC
5 - 0
SCF
66%
19%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
SCF
3 - 1
ROT
42%
21%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |