Oberliga Round 29

Bayreuth SpVgg vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Jahn Regensburg II
37 ELO 33
2.4% Tilt 7.1%
2715º General ELO ranking 4963º
116º Country ELO ranking 240º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Bayreuth SpVgg
21.3%
Draw
19.4%
Jahn Regensburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
Jahn Regensburg II
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-10%
+18%
Jahn Regensburg II

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Jahn Regensburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2005
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 0
Weiden
WEI
77%
15%
8%
37 23 14 0
24 Mar. 2005
TSV
TSV Aindling
0 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
38%
25%
36%
37 32 5 0
19 Mar. 2005
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 0
Unterhaching II
UNT
59%
23%
18%
36 35 1 +1
26 Feb. 2005
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
3 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
63%
21%
17%
36 31 5 0
27 Nov. 2004
FCP
Passau
0 - 3
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
43%
25%
33%
35 31 4 +1

Matches

Jahn Regensburg II
Jahn Regensburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2005
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
2 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
53%
22%
25%
34 30 4 0
27 Feb. 2005
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 1
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
70%
18%
13%
34 23 11 0
05 Dec. 2004
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
3 - 0
Memmingen
MEM
41%
24%
35%
33 36 3 +1
27 Nov. 2004
ISM
Ismaning
1 - 1
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
56%
22%
22%
32 35 3 +1
20 Nov. 2004
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
0 - 0
Nürnberg II
NUR
27%
23%
50%
31 42 11 +1