Bayreuth SpVgg vs Jahn Forchheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 4
BAY
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 2
DJJ
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
MEM
3 - 2
BAY
27%
24%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 0
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 2
GRO
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
JFO
5 - 3
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 4
JFO
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
JFO
3 - 1
WUR
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 0
JFO
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
KEM
2 - 0
JFO
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -8 |