Oberliga Bayernliga Round 19

Bayreuth SpVgg vs Jahn Forchheim analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Jahn Forchheim
48 ELO 27
11.4% Tilt 16.9%
2264º General ELO ranking 28895º
95º Country ELO ranking 850º
ELO win probability
77.7%
Bayreuth SpVgg
14.2%
Draw
8.1%
Jahn Forchheim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
Jahn Forchheim
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-1%
-14%
Jahn Forchheim

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Jahn Forchheim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 1995
FCP
Passau
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
30%
25%
45%
48 28 20 0
11 Nov. 1995
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 1
Rosenheim
ROS
80%
13%
7%
49 24 25 -1
04 Nov. 1995
FRO
VfL Frohnlach
1 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
31%
25%
44%
50 32 18 -1
28 Oct. 1995
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 4
SC Weismain
SCW
76%
15%
9%
50 34 16 0
21 Oct. 1995
TAM
Türkgücü München
0 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
28%
25%
48%
50 27 23 0

Matches

Jahn Forchheim
Jahn Forchheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 1995
WEI
Weiden
0 - 0
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
57%
23%
20%
27 31 4 0
28 Oct. 1995
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
1 - 3
Schweinfurt
SCH
27%
26%
47%
28 40 12 -1
21 Oct. 1995
VBH
VfB Helmbrechts
1 - 0
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
41%
26%
33%
29 26 3 -1
14 Oct. 1995
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
0 - 3
Passau
FCP
63%
21%
16%
30 26 4 -1
06 Oct. 1995
ROS
Rosenheim
2 - 3
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
35%
26%
39%
30 23 7 0