Bayreuth SpVgg vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ING
0 - 2
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 3
AUG
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
186
0 - 1
BAY
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 3
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 3
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 4
ILL
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ILL
4 - 1
EIN
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
2 - 3
ILL
19%
22%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 1
MEM
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |