Bayreuth SpVgg vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
BAY
1 - 4
SVS
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 3
BAY
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
BAY
2 - 1
BNE
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
EIN
4 - 2
BAY
52%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
BAY
0 - 0
EPP
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
DAR
5 - 1
HES
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
HES
1 - 0
FSV
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 0
HES
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
HES
1 - 0
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
SAA
1 - 2
HES
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |